PD-L and PSD to have about the same results in Euro-elections, according to Predict2009.eu

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The Democratic Liberal Party (PDL) and the Social Democratic Party (PSD) that make up the coalition government, might have equal results in the Euro¬elections due on June 7th (30.3% and 30.1% respectively) with each of them likely to send 11 representatives in the European Parliament, according to the Predict2009.eu, a prediction of the outcome of the June 2009 European Parliament elections and the resulting make-up of the next European Parliament.
The prediction is based on a statistical model of the performance of national parties in European Parliament elections, developed by three leading political scientists: Simon Hix (London School of Economics), Michael Marsh (Trinity College Dublin), and Nick Vivyan (London School of Economics).
These updated predictions (after the launch on 7 April 2009) use new polling data and up-to- date information about which parties and coalitions will be standing in the elections.
„A Democratic Liberal Party (PD-L) and Social Democrat (PSD) coalition government took office in Bucharest in December 2008 and is currently enjoying a honeymoon period. However, the new PD-L party should lose seats compared to the combined performance of the two former parties in the last European elections in Romania in 2007.
The main uncertainty in Romania will be the performance of Elena Basescu, the glamorous daughter of the Romanian President, who is standing as an independent,” the Predict2009.eu says.
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